Hunch
Trade on creator performance.
Real markets, real outcomes, real transparency.
Untapped Market
Millions of devoted fans follow creators, yet there's still no platform that lets them speculate on those creators' future performance.
A billion dollar goldmine waiting to be exploited.
Market Potential
social-rise.com/blog/onlyfans-statistics
theblock.co/post/361370/polymarket-hits...
Market Analysis: Behavioral Overlap
~10% of a model's fanbase are men aged 18–34 who engage in speculative markets
Data (2024–2025)
~10% of a model's fanbase are men aged 18–34 who engage in speculative markets (crypto or sports betting).
OnlyFans Demographics
Speculative Behavior (Men 18–34)
"Prediction markets are the future and Robinhood intends to play a leading role in their development."
Vlad Tenev
CEO, Robinhood Markets
Business Insider
"Prediction markets are poised to be a multi-deca-billion dollar industry."
Kris Marszalek
CEO, Crypto.com
Crypto.com
"These markets could signal a turning point for real-time event-data-driven financial products."
Jeffrey Sprecher
Chair & CEO, ICE / NYSE Owner
Intercontinental Exchange
OnlyStruggles Oracle
All performance data is sourced directly from OnlyStruggles and verified through our proprietary Oracle, which cryptographically signs and anchors the data on-chain, ensuring full transparency and tamper-proof authenticity.
Total Monthly Earnings
Powers primary macro markets like "Will she cross $500k this month?".
Earnings by Product
Enables sub-markets for DMs, tips, streams, and posts.
Historical Sales Data
ML regression and time-series models establish fair, data-driven starting prices for each market.
Daily Subscriber Count
Provides predictive indicators for short-term market sentiment.
Multi-Page Data
Splits data for conversion-based markets (e.g., free-to-paid subs).
Social Following Growth
Tracks follower changes across platforms to gauge public interest and brand reach.
For the first time ever, fans get to participate in the success of the creator!
NO MORE LAME
SPIN-THE-WHEEL GAMES
Emotional vested interest in the creator's success
Fans-lead curation of markets
The Markets
Macro Markets
What will @LunaStar earn in December? (Monthly)
$3.5M VoL
Micro Markets
Will tips revenue surpass posts revenue this month? (Monthly)
$1.2M VoL
Conversion Markets
Will @LunaStar conversion rate exceed 6% next month? (Monthly)
$1.8M VoL
Head-to-Head Markets
Who will earn more this month? (Monthly)
$5.1M VoL
💡 Fans-lead curation of markets! For the first time ever fans get to participate in the success of the creator.
Creator Profiles & System Gamification
@LunaStar
Digital Nomad & Artist
Earnings
+12.5% MoM
Followers
+25k
Monthly Income
$32.4K
Total Followers
2.1M
Conversion Rate
5.8%
Leaderboards
Top traders by profit and win rate this month.
Achievements
Unlock badges and milestones as you trade, predict, and climb the ranks.
Top Trader
Perfect Pick
Diamond Hands
Quick Trader
Hot Streak
Rising Star
Weekly Features
Special themed events and seasonal markets.
🎃 Halloween Special
Spooky-themed creator markets
🎄 Holiday Season
Coming in December
💖 Valentine's Day
Love-themed markets in Feb
Trade Lifecycle
Every trade flows through a transparent, trustless system ensuring fair distribution
Trade
User places bid
Blockchain
On-chain record
Fee Split
50/50 distribution
Revenue Distribution
Hunch
Platform Fee
Creator
Revenue Share
The Resolution
Creator Dashboard
Finalized Earnings Report: November
Total Revenue
$32,400
Net Profit Margin
30%
MoM Growth
12.5%
Historical Performance (Last 6 Months)
Live Market Activity
Snapshot of the primary Macro Market moments before resolution (Nov 30th).
Market: Exceed $35,000 in Nov? (Monthly)
Price Trend (Last 24h)
Live Trading Feed
Real-time trading activity • Earning 0.5% per trade
Total Trading Earnings (Today)
$0.00
0 trades processed
Recent Trades
Trustless Resolution Process
Off-Chain Verification
OnlyStruggles Data
- • All validators independently query the same API endpoints simultaneously
- • Each validator normalizes and hashes the retrieved data locally
- • They then sign and hash(normalized_data + block_number) with their private key
- • A single validator is selected deterministically using VRF to submit the signed hash to the oracle
Two-Hour Dispute Period
Creator Protection
Creator Rights
- • Challenge incorrect results with evidence
- • Provide screenshots, API data, or statements
- • Small dispute fee (refunded if successful)
Oracle Submission
Automated Settlement
After dispute period expires or is resolved, final data submits to blockchain via decentralized oracle.
Smart Contract Actions
- • Calculates winning positions
- • Distributes rewards to winners
- • Returns collateral minus fees
- • Updates creator/market statistics
Reward Claims
Finalization
- • Users claim rewards immediately after settlement
- • Option for automatic reinvestment into new markets
Investment Opportunity
Pre-Seed Round
Building the foundation for trustless Hunch
Post-Money Valuation
$10M
Early-stage entry point
Equity Stake
20%
Preferred shares with standard terms
$2M Target Raise: $1M from Creators, $1M from Strategic Investors
Content Creators
$1.0M
Why Creators?
- • Built-in user base and distribution
- • Referral program
- • Authentic platform evangelism
- • Network effects from day one
- • Create an emotional vested interest in the creator's success
Strategic Investors
$1.0M
Strategic Value
- • Industry expertise and connections
- • Web3 and prediction market know-how
- • Business development support
- • Follow-on funding potential
Why Invest Now?
First-Mover Advantage
No platform enables trading on verified creator data, our integrated verification layer makes replication difficult.
Proven Market Demand
Prediction markets already generate $2B+ in annual volume, growing 40% YoY, validating user appetite for speculation.
Decoupled Revenue Model
The platform separates revenue from content, focusing only on data and performance.
Synergy with Creator Economy
A $250B+ creator economy is searching for new financial tools, we’re the bridge between fan engagement and financial speculation.
Use of Funds
Smart contracts, oracle development, audits, frontend platform and design
Creator partnerships, community building, brand awareness, referral program, event participations
Engineering, design, operations hires
Legal, compliance, hosting, security
12-Month Roadmap
Q1 2026
MVP Launch
Beta with 20+ creators
Q2 2026
Scale to 100+ Creators
$1M+ monthly volume target
Q4 2026
Series A Ready
Proven unit economics
Onboarded Creators
Growing network of content creators leveraging Hunch for fan engagement.
Coming Soon
TBA
Coming Soon
TBA
Leadership
A diverse team of builders, operators, and creators united by a vision to revolutionize Hunch.
Josh Hollingsworth
Co-Founder & Lead R&D
Expert OnlyFans Engineer with 6+ years of experience developing and scaling advanced OnlyFans automation and analytics solutions.
DevOps Professional with over 10 years of experience building and optimizing large-scale web applications for multinational corporations.